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Poland - I Liga logo Poland flag Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 33 Stadion Miejski w Rzeszowie· Rzeszow Saturday, May 16, 2026 17:30
Stal Rzeszow logo Stal Rzeszow PPG 1.38
1-5 MISS
Wieczysta K. logo Wieczysta K. PPG 1.75
Home· +13.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.2%
Odds: 3.75 EV: +13.3%
Draw 24.7%
Odds: 3.90 EV: -2.2%
Away 45.0%
Odds: 1.70 EV: -23.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.40 -14.0%
Over 3.5 42.7% Odds: 2.00 -14.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.40 -16.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-2
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Stal Rzeszow
1.41
Wieczysta K.
1.92

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -14.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+13.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.38) vs Away GOOD (1.75)

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