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Gornik Leczna vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 17:30

Gornik Leczna

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Odra Opole

PPG 0.94 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.6% vs bookmaker-implied 57.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.5%0-112.0%0-26.8%0-32.6%0-4+1.0%1 1-011.6%1-113.3%1-27.6%1-32.9%1-4+1.1%2 2-06.5%2-17.4%2-24.2%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-02.4%3-12.8%3-21.6%3-30.6%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.4% 57.1% 1.75 -38.0%

Draw 28.2% 30.3% 3.30 -4.2%

Away win 36.4% 25.0% 4.00 +45.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 52.6% 1.90 -12.2%

Over 3.5 19.2% 30.8% 3.25 -22.6%

BTTS 51.6% 57.1% 1.75 -9.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob51.6%

D 28% / xG 1.1-1.1 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.3%

#2 0–0 10.5%

#3 0–1 12.0%

#4 1–0 11.6%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Gornik Leczna1.1

Odra Opole1.1

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 19.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GORNIK LECZNA · PPG 1.00

ODRA OPOLE · PPG 0.94

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.94)

Win probability 1X2

Gornik Leczna (H) 35.4%

ODDS 1.75 · IMPLIED 57.1% EV -38.0%

Draw 28.2%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -4.2%

Odra Opole (A) 36.4%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +45.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Gornik Leczna face Odra Opole in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Gornik Leczna a 35% chance, the draw 28% and Odra Opole 36%, so Odra Opole are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Gornik Leczna and 1.1 for Odra Opole (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Gornik Leczna are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.94 for Odra Opole. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +45.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Gornik Leczna vs Odra Opole Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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