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Podbeskidzie vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 32 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 16:00

Podbeskidzie

PPG 1.87 · HOME

3 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Sokol Kleczew

PPG 0.93 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 69.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-13.8%0-22.2%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.3%1-18.5%1-25.0%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-19.7%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.2%3-17.3%3-24.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-06.0%4+-17.1%4+-24.1%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 54.0% 73.5% 1.36 -26.6%

Draw 23.6% 23.1% 4.33 +1.3%

Away win 22.4% 16.7% 6.00 +20.6%

Over 2.5 63.9% 69.4% 1.44 -8.0%

Over 3.5 45.0% 47.6% 2.10 -5.5%

BTTS 59.7% 63.7% 1.57 -6.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.5%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.3%

#4 3–1 7.3%

#5 3–0✓ 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Podbeskidzie2.3

Sokol Kleczew1.2

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PODBESKIDZIE · PPG 1.87

SOKOL KLECZEW · PPG 0.93

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=54.0%

Win probability 1X2

Podbeskidzie (H) 54.0%

ODDS 1.36 · IMPLIED 73.5% EV -26.6%

Draw 23.6%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV +1.3%

Sokol Kleczew (A) 22.4%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV +20.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Podbeskidzie face Sokol Kleczew in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Podbeskidzie a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Sokol Kleczew 22%, so Podbeskidzie are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Podbeskidzie and 1.2 for Sokol Kleczew (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Podbeskidzie are averaging 1.87 points per game versus 0.93 for Sokol Kleczew. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +20.6%. This match finished 3-0.

Podbeskidzie vs Sokol Kleczew Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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