Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.44 -8.0%
Over 3.5 45.0% Odds: 2.10 -5.5%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.57 -6.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✔
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -8.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -8.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+20.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B... HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.87) vs P(Home)=54.0%