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Kufstein vs Saalfelden Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 29 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 15:00

Kufstein

PPG 0.69 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

Saalfelden

PPG 0.69 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-112.3%0-25.6%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-014.6%1-113.4%1-26.2%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-08.0%2-17.3%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-02.9%3-12.7%3-21.2%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-10.9%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.1% — — —

Draw 33.6% — — —

Away win 27.4% — — —

Over 2.5 42.3% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 48.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 39% / xG 1.1-0.9 / U2.5 42% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.4%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 1–0 14.6%

#4 0–1 12.3%

#5 2–0✓ 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kufstein1.1

Saalfelden0.9

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 42.3% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

KUFSTEIN · PPG 0.69

SAALFELDEN · PPG 0.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.69), Away POOR (0.69)

Win probability 1X2

Kufstein (H) 39.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 33.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Saalfelden (A) 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kufstein face Saalfelden in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kufstein a 39% chance, the draw 34% and Saalfelden 27%, so Kufstein are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kufstein and 0.9 for Saalfelden (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kufstein are averaging 0.69 points per game versus 0.69 for Saalfelden. This match finished 2-0.

Kufstein vs Saalfelden Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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