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Slavia P. U19 vs M. Boleslav U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 26 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 09:00

Slavia P. U19

PPG 2.33 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

M. Boleslav U19

PPG 0.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 74.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.5%0-22.1%0-31.2%0-4+0.7%1 1-03.8%1-16.4%1-25.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.9%2 2-04.7%2-18.0%2-26.7%2-33.8%2-4+2.3%3 3-04.0%3-16.7%3-25.6%3-33.2%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-04.5%4+-17.6%4+-26.4%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.4% 54.1% 1.85 -3.1%

Draw 22.9% 27.0% 3.70 -9.2%

Away win 24.7% 30.8% 3.25 -11.8%

Over 2.5 63.9% 74.6% 1.34 -14.4%

Over 3.5 60.4% 48.8% 2.05 +23.8%

BTTS 63.0% 69.4% 1.44 -9.3%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)2.5 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.0%

H 52% / xG 2.5-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.0%

#2 1–1 6.4%

#3 2–2 6.7%

#4 3–1 6.7%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia P. U192.5

M. Boleslav U191.7

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 60.4%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA P. U19 · PPG 2.33

M. BOLESLAV U19 · PPG 0.83

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=52.4%

Win probability 1X2

Slavia P. U19 (H) 52.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV -3.1%

Draw 22.9%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.2%

M. Boleslav U19 (A) 24.7%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia P. U19 face M. Boleslav U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia P. U19 a 52% chance, the draw 23% and M. Boleslav U19 25%, so Slavia P. U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.5 for Slavia P. U19 and 1.7 for M. Boleslav U19 (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia P. U19 are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 0.83 for M. Boleslav U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +23.8%. This match finished 0-3.

Slavia P. U19 vs M. Boleslav U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 Predictions