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Australia - Capital Territory NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Capital Territory NPL Regular Season - 8 Kambah Stadium Saturday, May 16, 2026 09:15
Tuggeranong Utd logo Tuggeranong Utd PPG 2.40
5-1 MISS
Brindabella Blu logo Brindabella Blu PPG 1.00
Over3.5· +10.8% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 65.5%
Odds: 1.25 EV: -18.1%
Draw 21.0%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +0.5%
Away 13.5%
Odds: 8.00 EV: +4.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.30 -9.3%
Over 3.5 65.2% Odds: 1.70 +10.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.52 -9.3%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 3-0
3rd 2-1
4th 4-1
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Tuggeranong Utd
3.37
Brindabella Blu
1.10

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
95%
STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.40), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

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