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Poland - I Liga Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 
Pogon Siedlce PPG 1.19 
Stal Mielec PPG 0.88
Poland - I Liga Friday, May 15, 2026 16:00 Pogon Siedlce PPG 1.191-3 MISS
Stal Mielec PPG 0.88Home· +32.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
52% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 49.9% Odds: 1.90 -5.2%
Over 3.5 25.6% Odds: 3.25 -10.1%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.67 -12.2%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-1 ✘
5th 2-0 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Pogon Siedlce 1.48
Stal Mielec 1.09
Model Suggestion
BTTS -12.2% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -12.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+32.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Home (+32.2%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 47 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -2.1%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value
MODERATE_HOME 52%
Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.19) > Away POOR (0.88)