Luzern vs FC Zurich Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Switzerland - Super League Relegation Group - 37 Swissporarena· Luzern Tuesday, May 12, 2026 18:30

Luzern PPG 1.06

1-0 MISS

FC Zurich PPG 0.89

Over3.5· +17.0% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.6%

Odds: 1.50 EV: -21.1%

Draw 23.3%

Odds: 4.80 EV: +7.1%

Away 24.1%

Odds: 5.10 EV: +13.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 68.3% Odds: 1.35 -7.8%

Over 3.5 61.6% Odds: 1.90 +17.0%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.42 -10.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Luzern

2.64

FC Zurich

1.62

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -7.8% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.8%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5/Under 68%

BTTS/No 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 9.3%

Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away POOR (0.89)