Today / Usce Novi B. vs Trajal Krusevac

Usce Novi B. vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction

Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Usce Novi B.

PPG 1.12 · HOME

UPCOMING

Trajal Krusevac

PPG 0.44 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.4%0-114.2%0-27.5%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.7%1-113.5%1-27.2%1-32.5%1-4+0.8%2 2-06.0%2-16.4%2-23.4%2-31.2%2-4+0.4%3 3-01.9%3-12.0%3-21.1%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.6%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 31.2% — — —

Away win 33.9% — — —

Over 2.5 41.1% — — —

Over 3.5 14.5% — — —

BTTS 48.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 43%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob48.1%

D 31% / xG 0.9-1.1 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.5%

#2 0–0 13.4%

#3 0–1 14.2%

#4 1–0 12.7%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Usce Novi B.0.9

Trajal Krusevac1.1

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.5%

Form & verdict PPG

USCE NOVI B. · PPG 1.12

TRAJAL KRUSEVAC · PPG 0.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.12) > Away POOR (0.44)

Win probability 1X2

Usce Novi B. (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 31.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trajal Krusevac (A) 33.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Usce Novi B. face Trajal Krusevac on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Usce Novi B. a 35% chance, the draw 31% and Trajal Krusevac 34%, so Usce Novi B. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Usce Novi B. and 1.1 for Trajal Krusevac (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Usce Novi B. are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.44 for Trajal Krusevac.

Usce Novi B. vs Trajal Krusevac Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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