Today / Pharco vs Modern Sport

Pharco vs Modern Sport Prediction

Tuesday, May 12, 2026

Pharco

PPG 0.93 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

Modern Sport

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-028.2%0-119.7%0-26.9%0-31.6%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.9%1-111.2%1-23.9%1-30.9%1-4+0.2%2 2-04.5%2-13.2%2-21.1%2-30.3%2-4+0.1%3 3-00.9%3-10.6%3-20.2%3-30.0%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.0%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.2% — — —

Draw 42.3% — — —

Away win 31.5% — — —

Over 2.5 25.8% — — —

Over 3.5 4.0% — — —

BTTS 41.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)0.7 BTTS prob41.8%

D 42% / xG 0.6-0.7 / U2.5 26% / NoBTTS 42%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 28.2%

#2 0–1✓ 19.7%

#3 1–0 15.9%

#4 1–1 11.2%

#5 0–2 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pharco0.6

Modern Sport0.7

COMBINED 1.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 25.8% · O3.5 PROB 4.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PHARCO · PPG 0.93

MODERN SPORT · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.93), Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Pharco (H) 26.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 42.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Modern Sport (A) 31.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Pharco face Modern Sport on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pharco a 26% chance, the draw 42% and Modern Sport 32%, so a draw is the most likely result. Expected goals are 0.6 for Pharco and 0.7 for Modern Sport (1.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 26% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pharco are averaging 0.93 points per game versus 1.14 for Modern Sport. This match finished 0-1.

Pharco vs Modern Sport Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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