Santa Clara vs Nacional Prediction & Tips

Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 33 Estádio de São Miguel· Ponta Delgada Monday, May 11, 2026 19:15

Santa Clara PPG 1.25

2-0 HIT CS5

Nacional PPG 0.88

Draw· +5.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Home 39.3%

Odds: 2.12 EV: -16.7%

Draw 32.5%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +5.6%

Away 28.2%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -1.6%

Result: Home ✔

Over 2.5 43.9% Odds: 2.00 -12.2%

Over 3.5 15.2% Odds: 3.55 -27.6%

BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.77 -14.9%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 0-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✔

Santa Clara

1.08

Nacional

0.96

Model SuggestionNo Bet  NO VALUE BET
Model lean: No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 57%

BTTS/No 47%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -4.3%

Bet Hit 50% (18 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.25) > Away POOR (0.88)