Estrela Amadora vs Famalicao Prediction & Tips

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Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 33 Estádio José Gomes· Amadora Monday, May 11, 2026 19:15

Estrela Amadora PPG 1.06

0-0 HIT CS2

Famalicao PPG 1.50

Home· +3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 29.6%

Odds: 3.60 EV: +3.9%

Draw 28.6%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -0.8%

Away 41.8%

Odds: 1.99 EV: -16.8%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.1% Odds: 1.85 -12.9%

Over 3.5 21.6% Odds: 3.10 -19.8%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.70 -11.4%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✔

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 0-2 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Estrela Amadora

0.99

Famalicao

1.39

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.4% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -11.4% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+3.9%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.06) vs Away GOOD (1.50)