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Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 29 VTB Arena· Moscow Monday, May 11, 2026 17:00
Dinamo Moscow logo Dinamo Moscow PPG 1.36
2-1 MISS
FC Krasnodar logo FC Krasnodar PPG 2.07
Draw· +7.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 26.3%
Odds: 3.84 EV: +0.6%
Draw 27.0%
Odds: 4.15 EV: +7.2%
Away 46.7%
Odds: 1.88 EV: -12.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.4% Odds: 1.67 -0.8%
Over 3.5 33.0% Odds: 2.60 -14.2%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.58 -13.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 0-1
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dinamo Moscow
1.09
FC Krasnodar
1.81

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -0.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -0.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+7.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%
O2.5/Under 54%
BTTS/No 54%
Score Hit 67%
ROI -39.8%
Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.07) vs Home AVERAGE (1.36)

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