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Russia - Premier League Monday, May 11, 2026 14:30 
Spartak Moscow PPG 2.14 
Rubin Kazan PPG 1.14
Russia - Premier League Monday, May 11, 2026 14:30 Spartak Moscow PPG 2.142-1 HIT CS5
Rubin Kazan PPG 1.14Away· +34.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 45.9% Odds: 2.01 -7.7%
Over 3.5 19.3% Odds: 3.42 -20.4%
BTTS 50.4% Odds: 2.03 +2.3%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 0-0 ✘
3rd 1-0 ✘
4th 2-0 ✘
5th 2-1 ✔
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Moscow 1.35
Rubin Kazan 0.92
Model Suggestion
BTTS +2.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is +2.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.14) vs P(Home)=46.7%