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Portugal - Primeira Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 33 FC Alverca Sports Complex· Alverca do Ribatejo Sunday, May 10, 2026 19:30
Alverca logo Alverca PPG 1.56
1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
Estoril logo Estoril PPG 0.94
Over2.5· +0.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.1%
Odds: 2.42 EV: -10.2%
Draw 26.4%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -5.3%
Away 36.5%
Odds: 2.70 EV: -1.5%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.70 +0.8%
Over 3.5 34.1% Odds: 2.75 -6.2%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.55 -8.9%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 2-1
4th 0-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Alverca
1.40
Estoril
1.55

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +0.8% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.

League Track Record

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%
O2.5/Under 57%
BTTS/No 47%
Score Hit 49%
ROI -4.3%
Bet Hit 50% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.56) > Away POOR (0.94)

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