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Portugal - Primeira Liga
Regular Season - 33
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves· Vila das Aves
Sunday, May 10, 2026
17:00
AVS
PPG 0.56
3-1
MISS
FC Porto
PPG 2.69
Draw· +25.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
9.9%
Odds: 12.00
EV: +11.3%
Draw
22.3%
Odds: 6.40
EV: +25.6%
Away
67.8%
Odds: 1.20
EV: -18.6%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
53.1%
Odds: 1.50
-20.3%
Over 3.5
31.4%
Odds: 2.25
-29.3%
BTTS
45.9%
Odds: 2.10
-3.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✘
2nd
0-3
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
0-4
✘
5th
1-2
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
AVS
0.46
FC Porto
2.37
Model Suggestion
Away
-18.6%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -18.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+25.6%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.69) vs Home POOR (0.56)