Lokomotiv M. vs Baltika Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 29 RZD Arena· Moscow Sunday, May 10, 2026 16:30

Lokomotiv M. PPG 2.00

1-0 HIT CS4

Baltika PPG 1.43

Away· +40.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 36.3%

Odds: 2.04 EV: -25.9%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.44 EV: -1.8%

Away 35.5%

Odds: 3.95 EV: +40.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 45.8% Odds: 2.18 -0.2%

Over 3.5 18.9% Odds: 3.84 -16.4%

BTTS 52.3% Odds: 1.89 -1.1%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✘

4th 1-0 ✔

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Lokomotiv M.

1.11

Baltika

1.13

Model SuggestionBTTS -1.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -1.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+40.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -39.8%

Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.43)