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07 Vestur vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 9 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 16:15

07 Vestur

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

B68 Toftir

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.6%0-18.3%0-25.2%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-09.7%1-112.1%1-27.6%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-07.1%2-18.9%2-25.6%2-32.3%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.5%3-14.3%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.2%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.3% 50.0% 2.00 -13.4%

Draw 26.5% 28.6% 3.50 -4.3%

Away win 30.2% 31.3% 3.20 -3.4%

Over 2.5 53.1% 62.5% 1.60 -15.0%

Over 3.5 28.9% 40.8% 2.45 -17.5%

BTTS 54.6% 67.6% 1.48 -19.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob54.6%

H 43% / xG 1.5-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 0–0 6.6%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 1–2 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur1.5

B68 Toftir1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 28.9%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 1.00

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 43.3%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -13.4%

Draw 26.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -4.3%

B68 Toftir (A) 30.2%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face B68 Toftir in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 43% chance, the draw 27% and B68 Toftir 30%, so 07 Vestur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for 07 Vestur and 1.3 for B68 Toftir (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.25 for B68 Toftir. This match finished 0-2.

07 Vestur vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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