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Z. Sosnowiec vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 15:00

Z. Sosnowiec

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 0.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-110.4%0-28.3%0-34.4%0-4+2.5%1 1-07.4%1-111.8%1-29.4%1-35.0%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.2%2-16.7%2-25.4%2-32.9%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.6%3-12.5%3-22.0%3-31.1%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-10.9%4+-20.7%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.0% 40.0% 2.50 -18.0%

Draw 27.4% 31.3% 3.20 -7.4%

Away win 44.6% 42.0% 2.38 +6.2%

Over 2.5 53.1% 58.8% 1.70 -9.7%

Over 3.5 29.3% 38.2% 2.62 -13.9%

BTTS 54.6% 62.5% 1.60 -12.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob54.6%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.6 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.8%

#2 1–2 9.4%

#3 0–1 10.4%

#4 0–2✓ 8.3%

#5 0–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Z. Sosnowiec1.1

Hutnik Krakow1.6

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

Z. SOSNOWIEC · PPG 1.00

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 0.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.87)

Win probability 1X2

Z. Sosnowiec (H) 28.0%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -18.0%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -7.4%

Hutnik Krakow (A) 44.6%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV +6.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Z. Sosnowiec face Hutnik Krakow in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Z. Sosnowiec a 28% chance, the draw 27% and Hutnik Krakow 45%, so Hutnik Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Z. Sosnowiec and 1.6 for Hutnik Krakow (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Z. Sosnowiec are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.87 for Hutnik Krakow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.2%. This match finished 0-2.

Z. Sosnowiec vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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