NAC Breda vs Heerenveen Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Eredivisie Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45

NAC Breda PPG 1.06

VS PENDING

Heerenveen PPG 1.31

Away· +12.6% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 27.6%

Odds: 2.48 EV: -18.9%

Draw 27.0%

Odds: 3.85 EV: +2.4%

Away 45.4%

Odds: 2.48 EV: +12.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.44 -14.6%

Over 3.5 35.8% Odds: 2.10 -24.8%

BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.38 -18.9%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-2

4th 0-1

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

NAC Breda

1.25

Heerenveen

1.77

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -14.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -14.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+12.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.06), Away AVERAGE (1.31)