Fortuna Sittard vs PEC Zwolle Prediction & Tips

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Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 33 Fortuna Sittard Stadion· Sittard Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45

Fortuna Sittard PPG 1.38

3-2 MISS

PEC Zwolle PPG 0.56

Over3.5· +18.4% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.9%

Odds: 2.08 EV: +3.8%

Draw 24.7%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -4.4%

Away 25.4%

Odds: 3.05 EV: -13.5%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.50 -7.4%

Over 3.5 52.6% Odds: 2.25 +18.4%

BTTS 62.7% Odds: 1.44 -9.7%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 3-1 ✘

5th 1-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Fortuna Sittard

2.28

PEC Zwolle

1.52

Model SuggestionBTTS -9.7% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.7%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

80%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: AVERAGE form (1.38) vs P(Home)=49.9%