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Netherlands - Eredivisie Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45 
Feyenoord PPG 2.19 
AZ Alkmaar PPG 1.25
Netherlands - Eredivisie Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45 Feyenoord PPG 2.191-1 HIT MostLikelyScore
AZ Alkmaar PPG 1.25Draw· +3.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.40 -13.6%
Over 3.5 47.5% Odds: 2.00 -5.0%
BTTS 59.1% Odds: 1.38 -18.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✔
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 2-2 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Feyenoord 2.18
AZ Alkmaar 1.38
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+3.0%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 31 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 55%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 68%
Score Hit 55%
ROI -2.1%
Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs P(Home)=49.3%