FC Groningen vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction & Tips

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 33 Euroborg· Groningen Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45

FC Groningen PPG 1.38

2-1 HIT CS3

NEC Nijmegen PPG 1.69

Draw· -1.7% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45% confidence

Home 35.1%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -3.5%

Draw 24.9%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -1.7%

Away 40.0%

Odds: 2.22 EV: -11.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.44 -11.2%

Over 3.5 45.6% Odds: 2.10 -4.2%

BTTS 62.4% Odds: 1.38 -13.9%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✔

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

FC Groningen

1.62

NEC Nijmegen

1.84

Model SuggestionBTTS -13.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -13.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 55%

O2.5/Under 65%

BTTS/No 68%

Score Hit 55%

ROI -2.1%

Bet Hit 63% (8 bets)

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.38) vs Away GOOD (1.69)