Excelsior vs FC Volendam Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Netherlands - Eredivisie Regular Season - 33 Stadion Woudestein· Rotterdam Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:45

Excelsior PPG 1.06

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

FC Volendam PPG 0.50

Away· +3.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 47.8%

Odds: 1.75 EV: -16.4%

Draw 26.4%

Odds: 3.90 EV: +1.8%

Away 25.7%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +3.2%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.57 -17.1%

Over 3.5 26.4% Odds: 2.40 -22.0%

BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.53 -16.5%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 1-0 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 0-0 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Excelsior

1.54

FC Volendam

1.06

Model SuggestionBTTS -16.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -16.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+3.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.06) > Away POOR (0.50)