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Russia - Premier League logo Russia flag Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Akhmat-Arena· Groznyj Sunday, May 10, 2026 14:15
Akhmat Grozny logo Akhmat Grozny PPG 1.86
1-1 HIT CS3
Makhachkala logo Makhachkala PPG 0.36
Home· +27.5% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.8%
Odds: 2.56 EV: +27.5%
Draw 28.2%
Odds: 3.10 EV: -7.5%
Away 22.1%
Odds: 3.12 EV: -18.6%
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 38.0% Odds: 2.48 -5.8%
Over 3.5 14.2% Odds: 4.65 -20.4%
BTTS 48.1% Odds: 1.99 -4.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0
2nd 0-0
3rd 1-1
4th 2-0
5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Akhmat Grozny
1.35
Makhachkala
0.65

Model Suggestion

No Bet ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=49.8%

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