Predict
Vantage
Today
Top Picks
Accuracy
Leagues
← Back to picks
Russia - Premier League
Regular Season - 29
Akhmat-Arena· Groznyj
Sunday, May 10, 2026
14:15
Akhmat Grozny
PPG 1.86
1-1
HIT CS3
Makhachkala
PPG 0.36
Home· +27.5%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
49.8%
Odds: 2.56
EV: +27.5%
Draw
28.2%
Odds: 3.10
EV: -7.5%
Away
22.1%
Odds: 3.12
EV: -18.6%
Result: Draw ✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
38.0%
Odds: 2.48
-5.8%
Over 3.5
14.2%
Odds: 4.65
-20.4%
BTTS
48.1%
Odds: 1.99
-4.3%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
1-0
✘
2nd
0-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✔
4th
2-0
✘
5th
2-1
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Akhmat Grozny
1.35
Makhachkala
0.65
Model Suggestion
No Bet
ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market:
Home.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.86) vs P(Home)=49.8%