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Switzerland - Super League logo Switzerland flag Switzerland - Super League Championship Group - 36 Stadio di Cornaredo· Lugano Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:00
Lugano logo Lugano PPG 2.12
1-2 HIT CS3
St. Gallen logo St. Gallen PPG 1.82
Away· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 37.7%
Odds: 2.15 EV: -18.9%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -2.1%
Away 36.2%
Odds: 3.00 EV: +8.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.3% Odds: 1.57 -6.9%
Over 3.5 32.8% Odds: 2.40 -21.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.48 -13.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Lugano
1.48
St. Gallen
1.41

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+8.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%
O2.5/Under 68%
BTTS/No 58%
Score Hit 26%
ROI 9.3%
Bet Hit 67% (9 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.12) > Away GOOD (1.82)

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