Zenit vs PFC Sochi Prediction & Tips

← Back to picks

Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 29 Gazprom Arena· Saint Petersburg Sunday, May 10, 2026 12:00

Zenit PPG 2.71

2-1 HIT CS4

PFC Sochi PPG 0.71

Draw· +53.5% ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 67.8%

Odds: 1.16 EV: -21.3%

Draw 22.8%

Odds: 8.30 EV: +53.5%

Away 9.4%

Odds: 18.50 EV: +44.3%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.49 -10.4%

Over 3.5 37.6% Odds: 2.38 -10.5%

BTTS 48.2% Odds: 2.36 +13.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-0 ✘

2nd 3-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✔

5th 4-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Zenit

2.55

PFC Sochi

0.55

Model SuggestionHome -21.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -21.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+53.5%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -39.8%

Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value

95%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.71), Away POOR (0.71) - Strong consensus