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Warta Poznan vs Sandecja Nowy Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Sunday, May 10, 2026, 10:15

Warta Poznan

PPG 2.07 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Sandecja Nowy

PPG 1.73 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.7%0-18.2%0-25.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.8%1 1-09.9%1-112.1%1-27.4%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.3%2-19.0%2-25.5%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.6%3-14.4%3-22.7%3-31.1%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.0% 44.4% 2.25 -1.0%

Draw 26.9% 31.3% 3.20 -8.3%

Away win 29.1% 35.7% 2.80 -11.1%

Over 2.5 53.0% 54.1% 1.85 -1.9%

Over 3.5 28.5% 30.8% 3.25 -4.4%

BTTS 54.6% 59.9% 1.67 -8.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob54.6%

H 44% / xG 1.5-1.2 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 0–0✓ 6.7%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 1–2 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Warta Poznan1.5

Sandecja Nowy1.2

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.5%

Form & verdict PPG

WARTA POZNAN · PPG 2.07

SANDECJA NOWY · PPG 1.73

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.07) > Away GOOD (1.73)

Win probability 1X2

Warta Poznan (H) 44.0%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -1.0%

Draw 26.9%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.3%

Sandecja Nowy (A) 29.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -11.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Warta Poznan face Sandecja Nowy in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Warta Poznan a 44% chance, the draw 27% and Sandecja Nowy 29%, so Warta Poznan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Warta Poznan and 1.2 for Sandecja Nowy (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Warta Poznan are averaging 2.07 points per game versus 1.73 for Sandecja Nowy. This match finished 0-0.

Warta Poznan vs Sandecja Nowy Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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