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Poland - I Liga logo Poland flag Poland - I Liga Regular Season - 32 Stadion Polonii· Warsaw Sunday, May 10, 2026 10:00
Polonia Warszaw logo Polonia Warszaw PPG 1.40
2-1 HIT CS2
Gornik Leczna logo Gornik Leczna PPG 0.73
Away· +9.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.3%
Odds: 1.57 EV: -22.6%
Draw 25.6%
Odds: 3.80 EV: -1.6%
Away 25.1%
Odds: 4.60 EV: +9.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.2% Odds: 1.62 -2.5%
Over 3.5 38.7% Odds: 2.50 -3.3%
BTTS 58.8% Odds: 1.62 -4.7%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-2
5th 1-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Polonia Warszaw
1.87
Gornik Leczna
1.28

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -2.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -2.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+9.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%
O2.5/Under 60%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 47%
ROI -2.1%
Bet Hit 53% (17 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.40) > Away POOR (0.73)

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