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FC Zurich vs Grasshopper Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Relegation Group - 36 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

FC Zurich

PPG 1.12 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Grasshopper

PPG 0.76 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 61.2% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.2% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.9%0-23.5%0-31.7%0-4+0.8%1 1-06.6%1-19.5%1-26.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.6%2 2-06.5%2-19.3%2-26.6%2-33.2%2-4+1.5%3 3-04.2%3-16.0%3-24.3%3-32.0%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-14.6%4+-23.3%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 42.9% 2.33 +14.9%

Draw 25.6% 28.6% 3.50 -6.2%

Away win 25.1% 35.7% 2.80 -17.8%

Over 2.5 61.2% 59.9% 1.67 +2.2%

Over 3.5 43.7% 38.2% 2.62 +14.5%

BTTS 58.8% 66.7% 1.50 -11.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 31 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 26%

ROI -6.1%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob58.8%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.4 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.5%

#2 2–1✓ 9.3%

#3 1–2 6.8%

#4 2–2 6.6%

#5 2–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

FC Zurich2.0

Grasshopper1.4

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.2% · O3.5 PROB 43.7%

Form & verdict PPG

FC ZURICH · PPG 1.12

GRASSHOPPER · PPG 0.76

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.12) > Away POOR (0.76)

Win probability 1X2

FC Zurich (H) 49.3%

ODDS 2.33 · IMPLIED 42.9% EV +14.9%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -6.2%

Grasshopper (A) 25.1%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -17.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

FC Zurich face Grasshopper in Switzerland - Super League on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives FC Zurich a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Grasshopper 25%, so FC Zurich are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for FC Zurich and 1.4 for Grasshopper (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, FC Zurich are averaging 1.12 points per game versus 0.76 for Grasshopper. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 2-1.

FC Zurich vs Grasshopper Prediction— Switzerland - Super League

Match Preview & Prediction

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