Today / Slovakia - Super Liga / Z. Michalovce vs DAC Streda

Z. Michalovce vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Championship Group · Matchday 9 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

Z. Michalovce

PPG 1.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLWW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

DAC Streda

PPG 1.67 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLLW

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 58% chance

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+2.6% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-19.6%0-28.4%0-34.9%0-4+3.2%1 1-06.3%1-111.1%1-29.7%1-35.6%1-4+3.7%2 2-03.6%2-16.4%2-25.6%2-33.2%2-4+2.1%3 3-01.4%3-12.4%3-22.1%3-31.2%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-10.9%4+-20.8%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.6% 27.4% 3.65 +0.4%

Draw 27.0% 28.6% 3.50 -3.3%

Away win 45.4% 53.2% 1.88 -14.6%

Over 2.5 59.3% 57.8% 1.73 +2.6%

Over 3.5 33.0% 35.7% 2.80 -7.6%

BTTS 55.0% 62.5% 1.60 -12.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 35%

ROI 32.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob55.0%

A 45% / xG 1.1-1.7 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 8.4%

#4 0–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Z. Michalovce1.1

DAC Streda1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.0%

Form & verdict PPG

Z. MICHALOVCE · PPG 1.33

DAC STREDA · PPG 1.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

58%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.67)

Win probability 1X2

Z. Michalovce (H) 27.6%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV +0.4%

Draw 27.0%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -3.3%

DAC Streda (A) 45.4%

ODDS 1.88 · IMPLIED 53.2% EV -14.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Z. Michalovce face DAC Streda in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Z. Michalovce a 28% chance, the draw 27% and DAC Streda 45%, so DAC Streda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Z. Michalovce and 1.7 for DAC Streda (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Z. Michalovce are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.67 for DAC Streda. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Z. Michalovce vs DAC Streda Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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