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Ruzomberok vs Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Relegation Group - 9 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 16:00

Ruzomberok

PPG 1.13 · HOME

4 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Trencin

PPG 1.47 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 51.0% vs bookmaker-implied 54.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.1%0-110.8%0-25.3%0-31.7%0-4+0.5%1 1-013.6%1-113.2%1-26.4%1-32.1%1-4+0.6%2 2-08.3%2-18.1%2-23.9%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-03.4%3-13.3%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.4%4+-11.3%4+-20.6%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.9% 52.9% 1.89 -17.0%

Draw 29.5% 31.3% 3.20 -3.4%

Away win 26.6% 25.0% 4.00 +3.8%

Over 2.5 45.8% 47.6% 2.10 -3.8%

Over 3.5 18.0% 27.0% 3.70 -20.0%

BTTS 51.0% 54.6% 1.83 -6.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 26 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 31%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-3

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob51.0%

H 44% / xG 1.2-1.0 / U2.5 46% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.2%

#2 0–0 11.1%

#3 1–0 13.6%

#4 0–1 10.8%

#5 2–0 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ruzomberok1.2

Trencin1.0

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 45.8% · O3.5 PROB 18.0%

Form & verdict PPG

RUZOMBEROK · PPG 1.13

TRENCIN · PPG 1.47

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.13) vs Away AVERAGE (1.47)

Win probability 1X2

Ruzomberok (H) 43.9%

ODDS 1.89 · IMPLIED 52.9% EV -17.0%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -3.4%

Trencin (A) 26.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +3.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ruzomberok face Trencin in Slovakia - Super Liga on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ruzomberok a 44% chance, the draw 30% and Trencin 27%, so Ruzomberok are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Ruzomberok and 1.0 for Trencin (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ruzomberok are averaging 1.13 points per game versus 1.47 for Trencin. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +3.8%. This match finished 4-3.

Ruzomberok vs Trencin Prediction— Slovakia - Super Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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