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Saalfelden vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 28 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 15:00

Saalfelden

PPG 1.08 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hohenems

PPG 1.36 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.4%0-110.9%0-29.3%0-35.3%0-4+3.3%1 1-06.7%1-111.4%1-29.7%1-35.5%1-4+3.5%2 2-03.5%2-16.0%2-25.1%2-32.9%2-4+1.8%3 3-01.2%3-12.1%3-21.8%3-31.0%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.7%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.4% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 46.2% — — —

Over 2.5 53.1% — — —

Over 3.5 29.7% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob54.6%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–2 9.7%

#3 0–2 9.3%

#4 0–1 10.9%

#5 0–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Saalfelden1.0

Hohenems1.7

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.7%

Form & verdict PPG

SAALFELDEN · PPG 1.08

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.36

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.08), Away AVERAGE (1.36)

Win probability 1X2

Saalfelden (H) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hohenems (A) 46.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Saalfelden face Hohenems in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Saalfelden a 26% chance, the draw 27% and Hohenems 46%, so Hohenems are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Saalfelden and 1.7 for Hohenems (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Saalfelden are averaging 1.08 points per game versus 1.36 for Hohenems. This match finished 2-2.

Saalfelden vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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