Krylya Sovetov vs CSKA Moscow Prediction— Russia - Premier League

Russia - Premier League Regular Season - 25 Samara Arena· Samara Saturday, April 18, 2026 11:30

Krylya Sovetov PPG 1.55

1-1 HIT MostLikelyScore

CSKA Moscow PPG 1.17

Home· +24.6% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Krylya Sovetov face CSKA Moscow in Russia - Premier League on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Krylya Sovetov a 30% chance, the draw 25% and CSKA Moscow 45%, so CSKA Moscow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Krylya Sovetov and 1.6 for CSKA Moscow (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Krylya Sovetov are averaging 1.55 points per game versus 1.17 for CSKA Moscow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.6%. This match finished 1-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 30.4%

Odds: 4.10 EV: +24.6%

Draw 25.0%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -5.0%

Away 44.6%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -15.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.8% Odds: 1.87 -1.3%

Over 3.5 30.5% Odds: 3.04 -7.3%

BTTS 55.9% Odds: 1.72 -3.9%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✔

2nd 0-1 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Krylya Sovetov

1.24

CSKA Moscow

1.55

Model SuggestionBTTS -3.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -3.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+24.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 46%

O2.5/Under 54%

BTTS/No 54%

Score Hit 67%

ROI -39.8%

Bet Hit 32% (19 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.55) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)