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Lustenau vs Bischofshofen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 28 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 14:00

Lustenau

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Bischofshofen

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-15.4%0-25.7%0-34.0%0-4+3.5%1 1-04.0%1-18.4%1-28.9%1-36.3%1-4+5.4%2 2-03.1%2-16.5%2-26.9%2-34.9%2-4+4.2%3 3-01.6%3-13.4%3-23.6%3-32.5%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 31.4% — — —

Draw 25.6% — — —

Away win 43.0% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 49.9% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-4

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob62.5%

A 43% / xG 1.6-2.1 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.4%

#2 1–2 8.9%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 2–1 6.5%

#5 1–3 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lustenau1.6

Bischofshofen2.1

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 49.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LUSTENAU · PPG 1.33

BISCHOFSHOFEN · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Lustenau (H) 31.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 25.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Bischofshofen (A) 43.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lustenau face Bischofshofen in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lustenau a 31% chance, the draw 26% and Bischofshofen 43%, so Bischofshofen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Lustenau and 2.1 for Bischofshofen (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lustenau are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.23 for Bischofshofen. This match finished 1-4.

Lustenau vs Bischofshofen Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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