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Slask Wroclaw B vs Kalisz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 31 ·Saturday, May 9, 2026, 11:00

Slask Wroclaw B

PPG 1.07 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Kalisz

PPG 1.13 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-16.3%0-23.6%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.7%1-111.0%1-26.3%1-32.4%1-4+0.9%2 2-08.5%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.0%3-15.7%3-23.3%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.7%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 51.3% 1.95 -3.9%

Draw 25.6% 29.4% 3.40 -7.8%

Away win 25.1% 31.3% 3.20 -11.8%

Over 2.5 59.3% 60.6% 1.65 -2.2%

Over 3.5 33.1% 36.4% 2.75 -9.0%

BTTS 54.7% 61.7% 1.62 -11.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob54.7%

H 49% / xG 1.8-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.0%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.5%

#4 1–0 9.7%

#5 0–0 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw B1.8

Kalisz1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 33.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 1.07

KALISZ · PPG 1.13

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.07), Away AVERAGE (1.13)

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw B (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -3.9%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -7.8%

Kalisz (A) 25.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -11.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw B face Kalisz in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw B a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Kalisz 25%, so Slask Wroclaw B are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Slask Wroclaw B and 1.1 for Kalisz (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw B are averaging 1.07 points per game versus 1.13 for Kalisz. This match finished 3-2.

Slask Wroclaw B vs Kalisz Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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