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Wisla Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 32 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 19:00

Wisla Krakow

PPG 2.27 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Chrobry Glogow

PPG 1.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 54.2% vs bookmaker-implied 55.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.0%0-16.9%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-011.7%1-111.6%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.7%2-19.7%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.4%3-15.4%3-22.7%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.3% 71.4% 1.40 -31.0%

Draw 25.6% 25.0% 4.00 +1.4%

Away win 25.1% 15.4% 6.50 +37.9%

Over 2.5 52.8% 59.9% 1.67 -11.8%

Over 3.5 27.7% 38.2% 2.62 -16.5%

BTTS 54.2% 55.6% 1.80 -2.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob54.2%

H 49% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 54%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 11.7%

#3 2–0✓ 9.7%

#4 2–1 9.7%

#5 0–0 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Wisla Krakow1.7

Chrobry Glogow1.0

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.8% · O3.5 PROB 27.7%

Form & verdict PPG

WISLA KRAKOW · PPG 2.27

CHROBRY GLOGOW · PPG 1.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.27) > Away GOOD (1.60)

Win probability 1X2

Wisla Krakow (H) 49.3%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV -31.0%

Draw 25.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +1.4%

Chrobry Glogow (A) 25.1%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV +37.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Wisla Krakow face Chrobry Glogow in Poland - I Liga on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Wisla Krakow a 49% chance, the draw 26% and Chrobry Glogow 25%, so Wisla Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Wisla Krakow and 1.0 for Chrobry Glogow (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Wisla Krakow are averaging 2.27 points per game versus 1.60 for Chrobry Glogow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +37.9%. This match finished 2-0.

Wisla Krakow vs Chrobry Glogow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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