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NSI Runavik vs HB Torshavn Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 9 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

NSI Runavik

PPG 3.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.8%0-16.8%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-013.1%1-111.4%1-24.9%1-31.4%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.1%2-19.6%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.2%3-15.4%3-22.3%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-13.3%4+-21.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% 52.6% 1.90 -3.1%

Draw 26.4% 27.8% 3.60 -3.0%

Away win 22.6% 29.0% 3.45 -13.2%

Over 2.5 46.5% 65.4% 1.53 -28.8%

Over 3.5 25.4% 43.5% 2.30 -24.9%

BTTS 52.3% 69.0% 1.45 -24.2%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 1.2%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 46% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 1–0 13.1%

#3 2–0 11.1%

#4 2–1✓ 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik1.7

HB Torshavn0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.5% · O3.5 PROB 25.4%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 3.00

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=51.0%

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 51.0%

ODDS 1.90 · IMPLIED 52.6% EV -3.1%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -3.0%

HB Torshavn (A) 22.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -13.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face HB Torshavn in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 51% chance, the draw 26% and HB Torshavn 23%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for NSI Runavik and 0.9 for HB Torshavn (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.50 for HB Torshavn. This match finished 2-1.

NSI Runavik vs HB Torshavn Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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