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W. Innsbruck vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 28 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 17:30

W. Innsbruck

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Imst

PPG 1.92 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.3 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.8%0-13.5%0-21.6%0-30.5%0-4+0.1%1 1-09.0%1-18.2%1-23.7%1-31.1%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.6%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.3%3-17.6%3-23.4%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-08.6%4+-17.8%4+-23.5%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 58.0% — — —

Draw 23.2% — — —

Away win 18.8% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 41.2% — — —

BTTS 54.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)2.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.6%

H 58% / xG 2.4-0.9 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 10.6%

#2 2–1✓ 9.6%

#3 1–1 8.2%

#4 3–0 8.3%

#5 1–0 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

W. Innsbruck2.4

Imst0.9

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 41.2%

Form & verdict PPG

W. INNSBRUCK · PPG 2.33

IMST · PPG 1.92

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.33) > Away GOOD (1.92)

Win probability 1X2

W. Innsbruck (H) 58.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Imst (A) 18.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

W. Innsbruck face Imst in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives W. Innsbruck a 58% chance, the draw 23% and Imst 19%, so W. Innsbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.4 for W. Innsbruck and 0.9 for Imst (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, W. Innsbruck are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.92 for Imst. This match finished 2-1.

W. Innsbruck vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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