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Slask Wroclaw vs Znicz Pruszkow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Regular Season - 29 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Slask Wroclaw

PPG 2.31 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

Znicz Pruszkow

PPG 1.07 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Model probability 77.8% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a clear edge.

+32.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-12.0%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.4%1-15.8%1-22.7%1-30.8%1-4+0.2%2 2-09.2%2-18.5%2-23.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-08.9%3-18.2%3-23.8%3-31.2%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-013.2%4+-112.1%4+-25.6%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 77.8% 58.8% 1.70 +32.3%

Draw 13.3% 28.6% 3.50 -53.4%

Away win 8.9% 23.8% 4.20 -62.6%

Over 2.5 73.4% — — —

Over 3.5 53.0% — — —

BTTS 56.8% 57.8% 1.73 -1.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 47 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 47%

ROI -4.2%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 77%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)2.9 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob56.8%

H 78% / xG 2.9-0.9 / O2.5 73% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.2%

#2 3–0 8.9%

#3 2–1 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.2%

#5 4–0 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw2.9

Znicz Pruszkow0.9

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.4% · O3.5 PROB 53.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW · PPG 2.31

ZNICZ PRUSZKOW · PPG 1.07

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

98%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.31), Away AVERAGE (1.07) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw (H) 77.8%

ODDS 1.70 · IMPLIED 58.8% EV +32.3%

Draw 13.3%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -53.4%

Znicz Pruszkow (A) 8.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -62.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw face Znicz Pruszkow in Poland - I Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw a 78% chance, the draw 13% and Znicz Pruszkow 9%, so Slask Wroclaw are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.9 for Slask Wroclaw and 0.9 for Znicz Pruszkow (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 73% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw are averaging 2.31 points per game versus 1.07 for Znicz Pruszkow. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +32.3%. This match finished 2-2.

Slask Wroclaw vs Znicz Pruszkow Prediction— Poland - I Liga

Match Preview & Prediction

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