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Sparta P. U19 vs Slovacko U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 11:00

Sparta P. U19

PPG 1.70 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Slovacko U19

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.9%0-25.2%0-33.0%0-4+2.0%1 1-05.5%1-19.7%1-28.5%1-35.0%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.5%2-17.9%2-26.9%2-34.1%2-4+2.6%3 3-02.5%3-14.3%3-23.8%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-12.5%4+-22.2%4+-31.3%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.2% 55.6% 1.80 -34.8%

Draw 22.6% 25.0% 4.00 -9.6%

Away win 41.1% 30.8% 3.25 +33.6%

Over 2.5 65.8% 69.4% 1.44 -5.3%

Over 3.5 43.9% — — —

BTTS 66.6% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob66.6%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.7%

#2 1–2 8.5%

#3 2–1 7.9%

#4 2–2 6.9%

#5 0–1 5.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sparta P. U191.6

Slovacko U191.8

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SPARTA P. U19 · PPG 1.70

SLOVACKO U19 · PPG 1.30

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.70) > Away AVERAGE (1.30)

Win probability 1X2

Sparta P. U19 (H) 36.2%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -34.8%

Draw 22.6%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -9.6%

Slovacko U19 (A) 41.1%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV +33.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sparta P. U19 face Slovacko U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sparta P. U19 a 36% chance, the draw 23% and Slovacko U19 41%, so Slovacko U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Sparta P. U19 and 1.8 for Slovacko U19 (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sparta P. U19 are averaging 1.70 points per game versus 1.30 for Slovacko U19. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +33.6%. This match finished 4-1.

Sparta P. U19 vs Slovacko U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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