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Slavia Praha II vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 6 ·Sunday, August 30, 2026, 08:15

Slavia Praha II

PPG 1.80 · HOME

LAST 5

DWWWD

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Opava

PPG 0.84 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDLDD

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.0 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.8% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-15.2%0-22.6%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.1%1-110.1%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.9%2-110.0%2-25.0%2-31.7%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.5%3-16.5%3-23.3%3-31.1%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-05.0%4+-15.0%4+-22.5%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 56.4% 54.1% 1.85 +4.3%

Draw 22.0% 27.4% 3.65 -11.8%

Away win 21.6% 29.0% 3.45 -15.3%

Over 2.5 59.8% 61.7% 1.62 -3.1%

Over 3.5 37.0% 40.0% 2.50 -7.5%

BTTS 55.0% 65.4% 1.53 -15.8%

Home O1.5 56.3% 58.8% 1.70 -4.3%

Away O1.5 31.1% 40.0% 2.50 -22.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.0%

H 56% / xG 2.0-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.1%

#2 2–1 10.0%

#3 2–0 9.9%

#4 1–0 10.1%

#5 1–2 5.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slavia Praha II2.0

Opava1.0

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.8% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SLAVIA PRAHA II · PPG 1.80

OPAVA · PPG 0.84

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.96 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Slavia Praha II (H) 56.4%

ODDS 1.85 · IMPLIED 54.1% EV +4.3%

Draw 22.0%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -11.8%

Opava (A) 21.6%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -15.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slavia Praha II face Opava in Czech-Republic - FNL on Sunday, August 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slavia Praha II a 56% chance, the draw 22% and Opava 22%, so Slavia Praha II are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Slavia Praha II and 1.0 for Opava (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slavia Praha II are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 0.84 for Opava. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +11.1%. This match finished 3-3.

Slavia Praha II vs Opava Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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