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Prostějov vs Táborsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 16:00

Prostějov

PPG 1.31 · HOME

LAST 5

LLDWL

UPCOMING

Táborsko

PPG 1.82 · AWAY

LAST 5

DWWWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-111.2%0-26.8%0-32.7%0-4+1.1%1 1-010.8%1-113.1%1-27.9%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-06.3%2-17.7%2-24.6%2-31.9%2-4+0.7%3 3-02.5%3-13.0%3-21.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.3% 36.4% 2.75 -0.2%

Draw 27.1% 31.3% 3.20 -8.0%

Away win 36.6% 42.0% 2.38 -12.9%

Over 2.5 50.5% 51.3% 1.95 -1.5%

Over 3.5 28.7% 29.9% 3.35 -2.3%

BTTS 52.9% 58.8% 1.70 -10.1%

Home O1.5 32.2% 39.2% 2.55 -17.9%

Away O1.5 36.8% 43.5% 2.30 -15.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob52.9%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 1–0 10.8%

#3 0–1 11.2%

#4 0–0 9.3%

#5 2–1 7.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Prostějov1.2

Táborsko1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.7%

Form & verdict PPG

PROSTĚJOV · PPG 1.31

TÁBORSKO · PPG 1.82

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected | No clear v...

45%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.04, combined xG 2.38 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Prostějov (H) 36.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -0.2%

Draw 27.1%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.0%

Táborsko (A) 36.6%

ODDS 2.38 · IMPLIED 42.0% EV -12.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Prostějov face Táborsko in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Prostějov a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Táborsko 37%, so Táborsko are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Prostějov and 1.2 for Táborsko (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Prostějov are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.82 for Táborsko. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +7.5%.

Prostějov vs Táborsko Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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