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Hanácká vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 6 ·Saturday, August 29, 2026, 15:30

Hanácká

PPG 0.94 · HOME

LAST 5

LLLLW

2 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Prostějov

PPG 0.89 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLDWL

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.1%0-111.7%0-27.5%0-33.2%0-4+1.4%1 1-010.1%1-113.0%1-28.3%1-33.6%1-4+1.5%2 2-05.7%2-17.2%2-24.6%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.1%3-12.7%3-21.7%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.0%4+-20.6%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 30.5% 48.8% 2.05 -37.5%

Draw 25.2% 32.3% 3.10 -13.1%

Away win 44.3% 31.3% 3.20 +41.8%

Over 2.5 50.7% 52.6% 1.90 -3.7%

Over 3.5 31.0% 30.8% 3.25 +0.8%

BTTS 52.7% 59.9% 1.67 -12.0%

Home O1.5 31.0% 47.6% 2.10 -34.9%

Away O1.5 36.6% 36.4% 2.75 +0.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.7%

A 44% / xG 1.1-1.3 / O2.5 51% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.0%

#2 0–1 11.7%

#3 1–2 8.3%

#4 0–0 9.1%

#5 0–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hanácká1.1

Prostějov1.3

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.0%

Form & verdict PPG

HANÁCKÁ · PPG 0.94

PROSTĚJOV · PPG 0.89

⚖ HIGH DRAW RISK - evenly matched, low-scoring expected

65%

HIGH_DRAW_RISK

xG gap -0.17, combined xG 2.40 - evenly matched, low-scoring, elevated Draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Hanácká (H) 30.5%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -37.5%

Draw 25.2%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -13.1%

Prostějov (A) 44.3%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV +41.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hanácká face Prostějov in Czech-Republic - FNL on Saturday, August 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hanácká a 31% chance, the draw 25% and Prostějov 44%, so Prostějov are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Hanácká and 1.3 for Prostějov (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hanácká are averaging 0.94 points per game versus 0.89 for Prostějov. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +12.0%. This match finished 2-1.

Hanácká vs Prostějov Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

More Czech-Republic - FNL Predictions