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Vysočina Jihlava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Matchday 7 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 16:00

Vysočina Jihlava

PPG 1.16 · HOME

LAST 5

DLWLL

UPCOMING

Arsenal Česká Lípa

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-17.6%0-24.0%0-31.4%0-4+0.5%1 1-011.3%1-112.0%1-26.3%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.9%2-19.4%2-25.0%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-04.7%3-15.0%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-12.8%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 56.5% 1.77 -16.1%

Draw 24.6% 28.2% 3.55 -7.6%

Away win 28.0% 25.3% 3.95 +6.4%

Over 2.5 53.8% 58.8% 1.70 -8.5%

Over 3.5 31.7% 36.4% 2.75 -12.8%

BTTS 55.3% 61.7% 1.62 -10.4%

Home O1.5 47.0% 57.8% 1.73 -18.7%

Away O1.5 32.5% 35.1% 2.85 -7.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 72 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 54%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 43%

ROI 1.3%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 33%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob55.3%

H 47% / xG 1.6-1.1 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.0%

#2 1–0 11.3%

#3 2–1 9.4%

#4 2–0 8.9%

#5 0–0 7.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vysočina Jihlava1.6

Arsenal Česká Lípa1.1

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 31.7%

Form & verdict PPG

VYSOČINA JIHLAVA · PPG 1.16

ARSENAL ČESKÁ LÍPA · PPG 1.44

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.52 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Vysočina Jihlava (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.77 · IMPLIED 56.5% EV -16.1%

Draw 24.6%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -7.6%

Arsenal Česká Lípa (A) 28.0%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV +6.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vysočina Jihlava face Arsenal Česká Lípa in Czech-Republic - FNL on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vysočina Jihlava a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Arsenal Česká Lípa 28%, so Vysočina Jihlava are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Vysočina Jihlava and 1.1 for Arsenal Česká Lípa (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vysočina Jihlava are averaging 1.16 points per game versus 1.44 for Arsenal Česká Lípa. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +11.0%.

Vysočina Jihlava vs Arsenal Česká Lípa Prediction— Czech-Republic - FNL

Match Preview & Prediction

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