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South-Africa - Premier Soccer League
Regular Season - 27
Dr. Petrus Molemela Stadium· Bloemfontein
Tuesday, May 5, 2026
17:30
Siwelele
PPG 1.77
2-2
MISS
Durban City
PPG 0.92
Draw· +12.6%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
35.8%
Odds: 2.30
EV: -17.7%
Draw
39.1%
Odds: 2.88
EV: +12.6%
Away
25.1%
Odds: 3.50
EV: -7.3%
Result: Draw ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
24.2%
Odds: 3.10
-15.0%
Over 3.5
4.8%
Odds: 6.50
-41.3%
BTTS
39.6%
Odds: 2.38
-5.8%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘
BTTS NO → YES ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-0
✘
2nd
1-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
0-1
✘
5th
2-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Siwelele
0.81
Durban City
0.54
Model Suggestion
No Bet
NO VALUE BET
Model lean:
No market reaches the 50% probability threshold — no pick suggested.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.77) vs P(Home)=35.8%