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Chippa Utd vs Sekhukhune Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Tuesday, May 5, 2026, 17:30

Chippa Utd

PPG 1.31 · HOME

UPCOMING

Sekhukhune

PPG 1.38 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.1%0-115.4%0-27.9%0-32.7%0-4+0.9%1 1-013.1%1-113.4%1-26.9%1-32.3%1-4+0.7%2 2-05.7%2-15.8%2-23.0%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.7%3-11.7%3-20.9%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.4%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.5% 28.6% 3.50 +24.3%

Draw 32.1% 32.8% 3.05 -2.1%

Away win 32.5% 45.9% 2.18 -29.1%

Over 2.5 38.0% 40.8% 2.45 -6.9%

Over 3.5 12.4% 21.1% 4.75 -24.7%

BTTS 49.5% 50.0% 2.00 -1.0%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 48 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 65%

ROI -23.2%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 45%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob49.5%

D 32% / xG 0.9-1.0 / U2.5 38% / NoBTTS 50%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 15.1%

#2 1–1 13.4%

#3 0–1 15.4%

#4 1–0 13.1%

#5 0–2 7.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Chippa Utd0.9

Sekhukhune1.0

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 38.0% · O3.5 PROB 12.4%

Form & verdict PPG

CHIPPA UTD · PPG 1.31

SEKHUKHUNE · PPG 1.38

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.38)

Win probability 1X2

Chippa Utd (H) 35.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV +24.3%

Draw 32.1%

ODDS 3.05 · IMPLIED 32.8% EV -2.1%

Sekhukhune (A) 32.5%

ODDS 2.18 · IMPLIED 45.9% EV -29.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Chippa Utd face Sekhukhune in South-Africa - Premier Soccer League on Tuesday, May 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chippa Utd a 36% chance, the draw 32% and Sekhukhune 33%, so Chippa Utd are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Chippa Utd and 1.0 for Sekhukhune (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 38% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chippa Utd are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.38 for Sekhukhune. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +24.3%.

Chippa Utd vs Sekhukhune Prediction— South-Africa - Premier Soccer League

Match Preview & Prediction

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