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H. Kralove U19 vs Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 10:00

H. Kralove U19

PPG 2.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Ostrava U19

PPG 1.55 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-13.0%0-22.8%0-31.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-03.6%1-16.8%1-26.3%1-33.9%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.1%2-17.7%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-03.1%3-15.8%3-25.4%3-33.4%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-03.1%4+-15.7%4+-25.3%4+-33.3%4+-4+2.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.9% 43.5% 2.30 +10.2%

Draw 20.0% 27.8% 3.60 -28.0%

Away win 32.1% 40.8% 2.45 -21.3%

Over 2.5 78.1% — — —

Over 3.5 59.3% 48.8% 2.05 +21.6%

BTTS 75.8% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 54%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob75.8%

H 48% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 78% / BTTS 76%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.7%

#2 2–2 7.2%

#3 1–1✓ 6.8%

#4 1–2 6.3%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

H. Kralove U192.3

Ostrava U191.9

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 78.1% · O3.5 PROB 59.3%

Form & verdict PPG

H. KRALOVE U19 · PPG 2.20

OSTRAVA U19 · PPG 1.55

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.20) > Away GOOD (1.55)

Win probability 1X2

H. Kralove U19 (H) 47.9%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +10.2%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -28.0%

Ostrava U19 (A) 32.1%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -21.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

H. Kralove U19 face Ostrava U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives H. Kralove U19 a 48% chance, the draw 20% and Ostrava U19 32%, so H. Kralove U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for H. Kralove U19 and 1.9 for Ostrava U19 (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 78% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 76% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, H. Kralove U19 are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.55 for Ostrava U19. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +21.6%. This match finished 1-1.

H. Kralove U19 vs Ostrava U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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