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Pardubice U19 vs Budejovice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, April 18, 2026, 09:30

Pardubice U19

PPG 1.90 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Budejovice U19

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.2%0-12.2%0-22.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.8%1 1-03.2%1-15.7%1-25.2%1-33.1%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.1%2-17.4%2-26.7%2-34.1%2-4+2.8%3 3-03.5%3-16.4%3-25.8%3-33.5%3-4+2.4%4+ 4+-04.3%4+-17.8%4+-27.1%4+-34.3%4+-4+2.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 55.0% 52.4% 1.91 +5.1%

Draw 18.5% 28.6% 3.50 -35.3%

Away win 26.5% 33.3% 3.00 -20.5%

Over 2.5 81.6% — — —

Over 3.5 64.3% — — —

BTTS 77.5% 75.2% 1.33 +3.1%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 70%

BTTS 61%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 16.3%

Bet Hit 88%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 63%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob77.5%

H 55% / xG 2.6-1.8 / O2.5 82% / BTTS 78%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.4%

#2 2–2 6.7%

#3 3–1 6.4%

#4 3–2 5.8%

#5 1–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pardubice U192.6

Budejovice U191.8

COMBINED 4.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 81.6% · O3.5 PROB 64.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PARDUBICE U19 · PPG 1.90

BUDEJOVICE U19 · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.90) > Away AVERAGE (1.10)

Win probability 1X2

Pardubice U19 (H) 55.0%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +5.1%

Draw 18.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -35.3%

Budejovice U19 (A) 26.5%

ODDS 3.00 · IMPLIED 33.3% EV -20.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pardubice U19 face Budejovice U19 in Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19 on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pardubice U19 a 55% chance, the draw 19% and Budejovice U19 27%, so Pardubice U19 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Pardubice U19 and 1.8 for Budejovice U19 (4.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 82% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 78% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pardubice U19 are averaging 1.90 points per game versus 1.10 for Budejovice U19. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.1%. This match finished 2-0.

Pardubice U19 vs Budejovice U19 Prediction— Czech-Republic - 1. Liga U19

Match Preview & Prediction

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