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Portugal - Primeira Liga logo Portugal flag Portugal - Primeira Liga Regular Season - 32 Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube· Vila do Conde Sunday, May 3, 2026 19:30
Rio Ave logo Rio Ave PPG 0.93
0-0 HIT CS4
Gil Vicente logo Gil Vicente PPG 1.27
Draw· +1.4% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 25.9%
Odds: 3.70 EV: -4.2%
Draw 29.4%
Odds: 3.45 EV: +1.4%
Away 44.7%
Odds: 1.95 EV: -12.8%
Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.4% Odds: 1.93 -6.6%
Over 3.5 26.6% Odds: 3.35 -10.9%
BTTS 53.8% Odds: 1.77 -4.8%
O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 0-1
3rd 1-2
4th 0-0
5th 0-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Rio Ave
1.10
Gil Vicente
1.51

Model Suggestion

BTTS -4.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -4.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.4%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.93) vs Away AVERAGE (1.27)

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